New Hampshire decides, and the calendar is set: Every contest will be in 2008!
We did not have to wait for long after all! As soon as the Michigan primary date got settled earlier this afternoon, NH's Secretary of State Gardner announced the New Hampshire primary will be held on January 8th!
And everyone breathed a sigh of relief that voting is not starting in December. Remember when Iowa's January 3rd seemed shockingly early? Well Gardner played so much on the possibility of a December primary that January 8th now seems a very reasonable date. This also means that Gardner chose to ignore (1) the Wyoming Republican caucuses of January 5th (everyone, including all candidates, have been ignoring it) and (2) the threat that Michigan Democrats decide to hold a caucus on January 8th.
Thus, here is the almost finalized voting calendar, with a quick take on the situation in the state as it stands today (with no consideration of things like momentum-building):
Dem: Three way toss-up between John Edwards, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama
Dems: Clinton favored, Obama improving
Dems: Only Clinton and Dodd are on the ballot
Dems: Clinton favored
Dems: Clinton overwhelming favorite
And everyone breathed a sigh of relief that voting is not starting in December. Remember when Iowa's January 3rd seemed shockingly early? Well Gardner played so much on the possibility of a December primary that January 8th now seems a very reasonable date. This also means that Gardner chose to ignore (1) the Wyoming Republican caucuses of January 5th (everyone, including all candidates, have been ignoring it) and (2) the threat that Michigan Democrats decide to hold a caucus on January 8th.
Thus, here is the almost finalized voting calendar, with a quick take on the situation in the state as it stands today (with no consideration of things like momentum-building):
- January 3rd: Iowa caucuses
Dem: Three way toss-up between John Edwards, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama
- January 5th: Wyoming caucuses, only Republicans
- January 8th: New Hampshire primary
Dems: Clinton favored, Obama improving
- January 15th: Michigan primary
Dems: Only Clinton and Dodd are on the ballot
- January 19th: South Carolina primary, only Republicans
- January 19th: Nevada caucuses
Dems: Clinton favored
- January 29th:South Carolina, only Democrats
- January 29th:Florida
Dems: Clinton overwhelming favorite
- February 5th: Super-biggest-ever-Tsunami Tuesday
posted by Taniel at
6:27 PM
3 Comments:
voters from these primaries may want to check out :
http://www.ireachable.com/vote
if many voters from these primaries participate in the opinion poll - it will provide better view of what is to come. Since the poll is open to all and results are transparently provided -it gives good data for analysis/prediction.
Google map with opinion locations:
http://www.ireachable.com/vote?op=map
detailed results :
http://www.ireachable.com/vote?op=results
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