Election results: Democrats pick-up Kentucky governship
- Kentucky: Score one for Democrats
In down-the-ballot races, Democrats won most statewide races but Secretary of State, in which the incumbent Republican narrowly prevailed, and Agriculture Commissioner (I stand corrected by Steve in the comments). Particularly noteworthy was the victory of Crit Luallen, the state Auditor, who earned a 59-41 victory, which is significant given that Luallen has been eyeing a run for Senate against Mitch McConell next year.
Meanwhile in Mississippi, Governor Barbour was reelected with 58% of the vote, a comfortable victory that is nonetheless a bit underwhelming considering how favored he was going in this thing. It is a testament to how weak Fletcher was in Kentucky that he ended up getting less than John Eaves, Barbour's opponent. The Mississippi Republicans had great results in statewide races and picked-up many positions, though Democrats surprisingly came out and took back the state Senate!
- Virginia Senate narrowly goes for Democrats
Update at 11:25pm: Democrats have captured the state Senate. District 28 has been long lost for them, but the Democratic candidate just emerged as the victor in District 39 -- which is enough to give Democrats a majority. The Democratic candidate lost District 37 by less than a 100 votes. So the Virginia Senate will now be composed of 21 Democrats and 19 Republicans.
Democrats emerge victorious in the Senate battle, but they barely managed to get a one-seat majority. They lost some races that they were looking to win, especially in the House of Delegates, where they look to only pick-up 3-4 seats, much less than expected. It looks the the GOP's relentless use of the immigration issue helped Republican turn-out, and the same looks to be the case in other states across the country, especially in Upstate New York local races. You can expect the GOP to use the illegal immigration issue with even more desperation in the coming months, as it is the one issue they have left and it appears to be working for them.
One important lesson from tonight though: Fairfax County is still driving Virginia Democrats. It gave Dems the victories necessary to retake the state Senate after ensuring Senator Webb and Governor Kaine's elections in 2005 and 2006. Tom Davis, who is sitting on a Democratic-trending House seat and whose wife lost tonight, probably is extremely worried tonight about his political future... and let's see if he even runs for re-election. The Democrats' presidential nominee will also certainly have a fighting chance in the state if current trends continue and if Fairfax votes as overwhelmingly Democratic as it is in recent cycles.
- Other races
3 Comments:
I'm getting tired of the relentlessly optimistic outlook on this site for Dems, which is colouring your reporting of things. You're reporting on the election last night wasn't totally accurate and certainly overly optimistic. For one thing, the GOP won 2 statewide offices in Kentucky and Secretary Grayson was not re-elected 'narrowly'. In spite of pre-election polls suggesting this, Mr. Grayson went on to thrash his opponent 57%-43%. What's more Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer, a Republican, won the widest margin of victory of any statewide office by a margin of 64%-36%. Please stop foaming at the mouth with irrational hyperbole.
And how does Governor Barbour's 58%-42% victory pale in comparison to Beshear? With Mississippi's nearly 40% black population, 58% statewide for a Republican governor is pretty good and the GOP crushed everyone statewide on the ballot except for incumbent Democratic Attorney General Jim Hood who won easily. In other words, Mississippi remains a GOP bastion.
At very least you managed to offer a more seasoned report of the Virginia elections. But why didn't you mention what happened in New Jersey with the stem cell research initiative dying a grim death?
By Anonymous, At 07 November, 2007 06:53
Steve, you don't seem to mention that Democrats also won control of the Mississippi state Senate, even as Barbour was winning in a landslide.
By Mr. Phips, At 07 November, 2007 10:39
Mr. Phips,
When I wrote the above piece, I didn't know that the GOP had lost the MS Senate. However, the article is still lopsided, as it softpedals the GOP victory in Mississippi in favor of the Dem victory in KY.
In addition, the Democrats apparently lost 2 house seats in NJ, though they gained 1 senate seat, making it a wash in a pretty reliably Democratic state.
My point is that it isn't all just horrible news for the GOP here. The Dems are fairly happy with Virginia and Kentucky but are also having to face the fact that they weren't able to make huge inroads at every level. It seemse highly likely that had Fletcher not been such a 'Fletch' he would have fetched a much better re-election. It does appear that the South is still very much a GOP bastion, though the Republicans may have to do some bolstering in blue-trending states like Virginia.
Honestly, though, I wish this blog would report things in a more balanced way and not always the gushing superlatives of how wonderful everything is for the Democrats. The truth is Hillary may actually be in a lot of trouble now. It's quite a shock that she's dropped below 40% in the Rasmussen daily tracking poll and her lead in NH has also tightened. The plot thickens . . .
By Anonymous, At 07 November, 2007 16:06
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