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<a href="http://www.oakley--sunglasses.com.co/" rel="nofollow">oakley sunglasses</a>oakleyseshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02221561593432696548noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-87241884137298956852008-04-01T07:14:00.000-04:002008-04-01T07:14:00.000-04:00"Isn't it a little early in the process to be maki..."Isn't it a little early in the process to be making these sweeping predictions based on a few days polling?"<BR/><BR/>Please leave your logic out of this debate while we argue about numbers that will become meaningless in a week. <BR/><BR/>Seriously, at the moment, polls do nothing but give ammunition for political nerds like myself to fire at others. That won't change till after the national conventions.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-80913111331691247002008-03-31T21:50:00.000-04:002008-03-31T21:50:00.000-04:00Yes, it's way early. However, there's no other dat...Yes, it's way early. However, there's no other data from which to speculate. So with that very substantial caveat, we speculate. One can disagree about whether it's worth it this far out.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-34107996759729500202008-03-31T21:13:00.000-04:002008-03-31T21:13:00.000-04:00Isn't it a little early in the process to be makin...Isn't it a little early in the process to be making these sweeping predictions based on a few days polling?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-76576734581169482972008-03-31T19:00:00.000-04:002008-03-31T19:00:00.000-04:00Mikeel I agree the Kerry states plus those you men...Mikeel I agree the Kerry states plus those you mention. Maybe also VA which is a helpful 13 EV's.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-77803973531101839052008-03-31T17:33:00.000-04:002008-03-31T17:33:00.000-04:00I've lived many years in OH and PA and they are a ...I've lived many years in OH and PA and they are a LOT more racist than the south, Even MLK noticed it.And all these GE polls mean absolutely NOTHING.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-86078326243076573242008-03-31T17:30:00.000-04:002008-03-31T17:30:00.000-04:00Obama's formula: Kerry states plus these: IA, NM...Obama's formula: Kerry states plus these: IA, NM, CO, NV. Perhaps he can take OH and PA, but probably splits.<BR/><BR/>Anyway, it'll be a squeaker.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-52809131186770491552008-03-31T13:45:00.000-04:002008-03-31T13:45:00.000-04:00If Obama loses the white vote by only 10% or so th...If Obama loses the white vote by only 10% or so this will be viewed as a good result because pundits will say that Southern whites, who are believed to be more racist compared to northern or midwestern voters, would have been expected to vote more heavily against a candidate who is black.<BR/><BR/>Of course in reality this is false, if anything whites in OH and PA are more racist than VA, NC etc. Look sat the data from VA - a southern state that Obama won by >20% and won the white vote.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-26881489611085830372008-03-31T13:39:00.000-04:002008-03-31T13:39:00.000-04:00Interesting polls. What they clearly show is Obama...Interesting polls. What they clearly show is Obama is more elctability than Clinton. He wins WA by 5% (roughly what Gore and Kerry did) and Clinton loses WA. He does better in NJ than Clinton!! He also loses MI by 1% rather than 3%. Of course these polls are months before the GE but any electability argument Clinton had has taken a reality check.<BR/><BR/>The Wright issue seems ot have blown over as shown by his favourability ratings as well as the poll figures. <BR/>Interesting that he is only 12% behind in the white vote in North Carolina and most if not all of this defeict could be due to white women. If Obama comes this close to parity in the white vote and wins by 10%+ then May 6th looks like a bad day for Clinton (unless IN scores a suprise large victory for her).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com