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<a href="http://www.oakley--sunglasses.com.co/" rel="nofollow">oakley sunglasses</a>oakleyseshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02221561593432696548noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-76518133549939108732008-04-25T08:27:00.000-04:002008-04-25T08:27:00.000-04:00Anon - first she had a 20% lead in polls in PA 4-6...Anon - first she had a 20% lead in polls in PA 4-6 weeks out. So 9 or 10% is half that -i.e. and improvement for Obama.<BR/><BR/>The only reason for stating correctly that the margin was 9% between the candidates (9.5% would be rounded to 10) is that double digits were very important to her. I didn`t say they were, she and the CW said so. So lets get the actual numbers out straight. Lets not mispeak or misremember the facts.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-60090551194801617762008-04-24T19:53:00.000-04:002008-04-24T19:53:00.000-04:00if it's 5 or higher you round up. 4 or lower you r...if it's 5 or higher you round up. 4 or lower you round down.Taniel writes there is "no favorite going in to the contest" speaking of Indiana, then writes "Clinton is not favored in Indiana". Also "Indiana is likely to be portrayed as more crucial" and in N.C. "the stakes are as crucial as those of Indiana"These statements are contradictions. And finally Clinton will not fall very far behind in the popular vote, but fall "further" behind.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-17998494551481566502008-04-24T15:40:00.000-04:002008-04-24T15:40:00.000-04:00Tom 9.4 is in the tenth percentile, as it exceeds ...Tom 9.4 is in the tenth percentile, as it exceeds the ninth. You are mathematically wrong. Really such a pathetic ploy to say she didn't reach expectations. Obama claimed he closed the gap. Does that stolen digit come anywhere near closing a ten point lead? Now I suppose you want to claim that votes cast in Fl and Mich don't count because of a party dispute over delegates? You people are sinking to unbelievable depths of unethical behavior. This is why Obama is unelectable. His campaign tarnishes this country's people almost as badly as Bush's administration.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-66041682854618785842008-04-24T15:09:00.000-04:002008-04-24T15:09:00.000-04:00You are correct that the individual results were r...You are correct that the individual results were rounded to 55-45. But the actual spread between the two results was 9% (9.4% to be exact). This is only a big deal because some people (including Clinton) said they ahd to win by double digits. 9% is not double digits.<BR/><BR/>All I am trying to do is be mathematically accurate. Surely people want accuracy?<BR/><BR/>One other thing. Indiana is the hoosier state not the hoover state. But maybe I will get moaned at as nit-picking!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-6893250954202664412008-04-24T14:38:00.000-04:002008-04-24T14:38:00.000-04:0055-45 is ten points. Trying to round it down to 9 ...55-45 is ten points. Trying to round it down to 9 is just laughable. If that's the way you want to be portayed as silly nit-pickers then be my guest. The media reports it as double digits and so does the rest of the mathematically apt world. I guess you're still living in the twentieth century too.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-75218389811578363572008-04-24T14:31:00.000-04:002008-04-24T14:31:00.000-04:00Yeah John that's what you morons said about Ohio a...Yeah John that's what you morons said about Ohio and Pa. Watch her win both and really sink the scaredy cat.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-90662213849672144762008-04-24T14:08:00.000-04:002008-04-24T14:08:00.000-04:00Come on people of NC and Indiana its time to end ...Come on people of NC and Indiana its time to end this race and send the bitch to hell where she belongs!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-22549531151104149852008-04-24T13:56:00.000-04:002008-04-24T13:56:00.000-04:00very key point :But the Pennsylvania exit polls, c...very key point :<BR/><BR/>But the Pennsylvania exit polls, conducted by Edison/Mitofsky for five television networks and The Associated Press, underscore a point that political analysts made on Wednesday: that state primary results do not necessarily translate into general election victories.<BR/><BR/>Again - state primary votes do not necessarily lead to victory in November. Clinton won Oklahoma in February, will she win it in November - No. etc etcAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-6603414023290082172008-04-24T13:54:00.000-04:002008-04-24T13:54:00.000-04:00Interesting article in the NY Times (http://www.ny...Interesting article in the NY Times (http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/24/us/politics/24clinton.html?_r=2&hp&oref=slogin&oref=slogin)<BR/><BR/>Basically everyone is wringing their hands that since Clinton wins the blue collar vote in OH, PA etc that these voters would desert in November. Well from the polling data (some facts rather than just assertion which some do on here) it looks like the fear is overblown. Most Dems will come home and realise the huge difference between the parties.<BR/><BR/>The GE polls do show him running as well if not better than Clinton and although there are months to go he has had a bad few weeks of press etc.<BR/>Some text below :<BR/><BR/>According to surveys of Pennsylvania voters leaving the polls on Tuesday, Mr. Obama would draw majorities of support from lower-income voters and less-educated ones — just as Mrs. Clinton would against Mr. McCain, even though those voters have favored her over Mr. Obama in the primaries.<BR/><BR/>"And national polls suggest Mr. Obama would also do slightly better among groups that have gravitated to Republican in the past, like men, the more affluent and independents, while she would do slightly better among women."<BR/><BR/>and<BR/><BR/>"Among all these groups that people have been focused on — blue-collar workers, white working-class folks — we did better in Pennsylvania than we did in Ohio, so we’re continually making progress,” Mr. Obama told reporters in Indiana, which holds its primary on May 6. “If you look at these states that I’m supposed to win, if you look at the polling, I actually do if not as well then better than Senator Clinton relative to Senator McCain.”Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-19910205651793280842008-04-24T13:47:00.000-04:002008-04-24T13:47:00.000-04:00Taniel - I agree with your premise that both state...Taniel - I agree with your premise that both states are important in different ways.<BR/><BR/>NC matters mathematically to overturn the deficit from PA in delegates and popular vote. But I also agree that how blue collar voters etc vote matters too. NC is the new south, much like Virginia and doesn't have that much in common with what I call the old south - Alabama, Georgia, Arkansas, Mississippi etc.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-69751287673383657112008-04-24T13:44:00.000-04:002008-04-24T13:44:00.000-04:00If Obama wins by 10% the that should be viewed as ...If Obama wins by 10% the that should be viewed as big by the Clinton supporters because they view a 9% victory (which they mischaracterise as double digits) as substantial even though the demographics in PA favor her as much as they do for Obama in NC.<BR/><BR/>Seriously though I expect Obama to win by 15% - that would, on a reasonable turnout, make up in the popular vote the deficit from PA. He will also make up the pledged delegate deficit too (regardless of overall turnout).<BR/><BR/>Of course I expect some Clinton supporters to diss NC and say it is a red state and therefore doesn't matter. If that is the case then IN and TX certainly do not count (although keep getting mentioned). Also in recent GE polls Obama ties McCain in NC - i.e. NC is not as red as some people think (Democratic house and senate, Democratic governor for 16 years and the majority of the congressional delegation is Democratic).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-25368628405074956652008-04-24T12:34:00.000-04:002008-04-24T12:34:00.000-04:00You forgot to mention the new attack ads by the re...You forgot to mention the new attack ads by the republicans in NC.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com