tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post110206060768917017..comments2023-11-05T02:58:27.295-05:00Comments on Campaign Diaries: Clinton triumphs in Puerto RicoTanielhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17333289018970623022noreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-60960088580221693732008-06-02T03:27:00.000-04:002008-06-02T03:27:00.000-04:00This is very interesting for Clinton. According t...This is very interesting for Clinton. According to realclearpolitics.com, with the addition of the Puerto Rico results, she is now LEADING in the popular vote if you include the Michigan totals. (This is the case whether you give the Uncommitted popular votes to Obama or not.)<BR/><BR/>It appears that Clinton will, in fact, be able to claim that she is by some standard the choice of the people. Unfortunately for her, it won't be in delegates, the only metric that matters. But it still might be enough to make her take her case to the convention.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-66917360952040818302008-06-01T23:11:00.000-04:002008-06-01T23:11:00.000-04:00I love how the Clinton's were turning to a group t...I love how the Clinton's were turning to a group that can't vote in the General election to sustain their popular vote argument.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-59023280751942051692008-06-01T19:42:00.000-04:002008-06-01T19:42:00.000-04:00Tom your right, there wasn't a mega turnout. Howev...Tom your right, there wasn't a mega turnout. However Clinton has done much better than what the polls has expected and that kinda offsets the low turnout numbers in Puerto Rico if we are talking about the popular vote.<BR/><BR/>I do think that Montana and South Dakota will be much more important because it will help determine how high the race will end for Obama. Since the March 4th primaries Obama has been losing most of them, so solid wins in SD and MT are importnat in him winning with some pride rather than just straggling to the finishing line. The good thing for Clinton is that Obama favored states are not as favorable to him as Clinton favored states are to her, so Clinton has a much better chance at an upset in both Motana and South Dakota than Obama had in Puerto Rico. If she wins one or both states, it will encourage her to keep her campaign going even through all of the primaries will have ended.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-29106881769428737112008-06-01T19:27:00.000-04:002008-06-01T19:27:00.000-04:00What happened to the supposed mega turnout. More l...What happened to the supposed mega turnout. More like meager!!<BR/>350000 total votes at 93%Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-32733883262494393212008-06-01T17:27:00.000-04:002008-06-01T17:27:00.000-04:00Jaxx,Of course they aren't Democratic and Republic...Jaxx,<BR/>Of course they aren't Democratic and Republican. I meant to say just that (which was the whole point of my parenthetical) but the summer heat got to me.Tanielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17333289018970623022noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-71859476315703593122008-06-01T17:03:00.000-04:002008-06-01T17:03:00.000-04:00Taniel the main two political parties in Puerto Ri...Taniel the main two political parties in Puerto Rico are not the Democratic and Republican parties: they are New Progressive Party (PNP) and the Popular Democratic Party (PDP). The PDP strongly indentifies with the Democratic party, while the PNP is basically split 50/50 between the Democrats and the Republicans.<BR/><BR/>And yeah Taniel I understand your views on the exit polls and it seems you were right: Clinton is getting about 68% of the vote with 29% of the vote in.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-20950790312842344852008-06-01T16:46:00.000-04:002008-06-01T16:46:00.000-04:00Can someone remind me of PR's worth in the GE - so...Can someone remind me of PR's worth in the GE - somewhere between not worth a pile of dust and Idaho. I.e. zero EV's. Move onto proper states.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-36890890354399189392008-06-01T16:16:00.000-04:002008-06-01T16:16:00.000-04:00Jaxx Razor,I explicitly said that exit polls show ...Jaxx Razor,<BR/><BR/>I explicitly said that exit polls show Clinton winning with 68% of the vote, which they do. I did not say Clinton will win with 68% of the vote. I provide the exit poll projection every election day for every state, and they often end up being off but I don't think it is more presumptuous here than in other states!Tanielhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17333289018970623022noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-63858227073844777852008-06-01T16:13:00.000-04:002008-06-01T16:13:00.000-04:00Calling Hispanics "low info" seems very offputting...Calling Hispanics "low info" seems very offputting to me. Indeed, in the Democratic primaries at least, hispanics have been going overwhelming for Clinton, probably less over the black/brown divide that many pundits speak of but of Obama's familiarity. Obviously Obama has increased his name recognition immenseily thanks to the extended primary process, but Clinton remains the most well known of all of the candidates that ever participated in this 2008 election. Its possible that hispanics are just more comforable with a familiar face rather than a new one.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-58346987045557182742008-06-01T16:07:00.000-04:002008-06-01T16:07:00.000-04:00No surprise at all, especially given that the vote...No surprise at all, especially given that the votes reflect her most loyal electoral constituency, which is Hispanic voters. <BR/>It is beyond me why Hillary remains the political favorite of those 'low- info' voters despite Clinton's self-centered political ambitions that will do no good to the future of America. But it is comforting that PR won't have a say in the presidential election.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5027045200173644956.post-63656734947197837002008-06-01T15:56:00.000-04:002008-06-01T15:56:00.000-04:00Taniel, only a few hundred votes have come in at t...Taniel, only a few hundred votes have come in at this time so to say that Clinton will win with about 68% of the vote is presumptious. I do think that when all of the votes are counted she will get at a minimum a 60% lead. In a way this is anticlimatic, SD and MT will be more important because fewer polling has been done there and while Obama is favored in both states, by how much is not apparent. I feel that Obama will win SD by at least 10 points because he basically has the support of the SD Democratic party while it could be a bit closer, maybe by 5 points, a Obama win in Montana because none of the abudent Democrats in that state have endorsed and maybe the guns and religion comment has damaged Obama in Montana, althrough its almost two months since that happened.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com